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UBS Expects to Post Small Loss
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UBS warned of a potential small second-quarter net loss, but reassured investors that it wouldn't have to raise capital for a third time this year as tax benefits will mitigate the effect of fresh write-downs related to the mortgage crisis.
 
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For the first half, U.S. stock funds compared favorably with the S&P 500-stock index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. But now that the Dow has fallen into a bear market, investors are wondering what to do. Before heading for the exits -- or jumping in with both feet -- it's crucial to remember these five investing rules. (Video| Podcast | Quiz)
Buyout Boom to Wear on Economy
The recent corporate-buyout boom is likely to come back and haunt financial markets and the economy, as firms struggle to refinance billions of dollars in loans made to finance takeovers, the Bank for International Settlements said.
 

 
Investors Rescue B&B Capital-Raising
A group of major investors stepped in to rescue a $793 million capital-raising effort by Bradford & Bingley, after U.S. buyout firm TPG pulled out of a deal to take a stake in the troubled U.K. mortgage lender.
 

 
TODAY'S MARKETS By PETER A. MCKAY
GM's Rebound Helps Spur Dow
The Dow industrials finished higher by 73.03 points, or 0.7%, at 11288.54, as component General Motors rebounded from a sharp selloff a day earlier. Other major indexes ended narrowly mixed in an abbreviated session.
 

 
Bear Stearns Assets Lose Value
Assets the Federal Reserve agreed to accept from Bear Stearns to facilitate its sale to J.P. Morgan are now worth about $1 billion less than originally estimated, but the decline isn't enough yet to put taxpayers on the hook for any losses.
 

 
Ex-Refco CEO Gets Prison Sentence
Ex-Refco Chief Executive Phillip Bennett was sentenced to 16 years in prison after he pleaded guilty to criminal charges in a scheme to hide the commodities broker's financial troubles.
 

 
Israel Ordered to Start Prison Term
Samuel Israel III was ordered by a judge to immediately begin serving a 20-year prison term. The former hedge-fund executive surrendered following more than three weeks on the run.
 

 
Paulson, Darling Warn on Economy
Paulson ended a four-day European trip, joining with U.K. Finance Minister Alistair Darling to warn that the near-term economic outlook remains difficult and the global inflation threat is serious.
 

 
Provisions to Hit Marshall & Ilsley
Milwaukee bank Marshall & Ilsley predicted a big second-quarter net loss on increased loan-loss provisions as the housing market continues to deteriorate.
 

 
China Moves to Stem Influx of 'Hot Money'
China is toughening capital controls with a new system for monitoring funds brought into the country by exporters.
 

 
Ping An Plunges on Tax-Probe Worries
Ping An dismissed speculation of a probe into tax irregularities, but the insurer's shares fell a further 5.8% Thursday.
 

 
S&P Cuts Triad Rating to Junk
S&P cut its rating on reinsurance provider Triad Guaranty's key operating unit to junk amid "the tremendous uncertainty regarding Triad's ultimate paid claims."
 

 
Morgan's Shapiro to Retire
Morgan Stanley commodities chief John Shapiro is stepping down after informing the company of his intention to retire. He will stay on to advise the firm through year-end.
 

 
Jul 3, 2:33 pm
If you're at the beach house this weekend and Uncle Ned tries to tell you stocks are a good long-term investment, counter with this, then have another strong margarita: Adjusted for inflation and dividends, the return on the S&P 500 was negative for the decade that ended on June 30. If my calculations are correct, [...]
Jul 3, 12:06 pm
Rob Curran of Dow Jones Newswires reports: What this market needs is a strong dose of the heebie jeebies, some traders say: a good, old-fashioned cathartic spike on the VIX coinciding with a purging S&P 500 selloff. That, and only that, they say, would clear the market’s constitution for an intermediate-term recovery. The VIX is where? NOOOOOO!!!!!! [...]
Jul 3, 10:47 am
Annelena Lobb reports: The U.S. dollar got some oomph ahead of July 4, surging — patriotically, even — against its major rivals. The euro recently bought $1.5756, from $1.5880 late Monday. The dollar changed hands at 106.41 yen, from 105.99 yen, and at 1.0217 Swiss francs, from 1.0142 francs. The British pound traded at $1.9851, from $1.9928. [...]
Jul 3, 10:02 am
Shell-shocked investors looking anywhere for returns have looked into any number of assets by now — corn, soybeans, oil. George Nichols at IndexUniverse is checking out timber. “Timber products touch our lives on a daily basis, though few people have ever considered timber as a potential investment. That is gradually changing, however, as more investors [...]
Jul 3, 4:00 pm
The reliably quotable J.P. Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon went to the Aspen Ideas festival this week. The festival, hosted by Atlantic magazine and the Aspen Institute, featured an interview between Charlie Rose and Dimon. Dimon, whose firm caught, flayed and ate Bear Stearns, had several interesting observations during the wide-ranging conversation. Here are some [...]
Jul 3, 3:20 pm
John McCain today said patriotism is putting country before all else. On Wall Street, that place of priority is usually reserved for money. Let's try and make peace and put country and money back together, where they belong. In that spirit, here are four for the Fourth. 1. Patriotism and the financials: Shortly after mocking the futility of [...]
Jul 3, 3:04 pm
In comedy, timing is everything. So why not in mergers? We were reminded of that Wednesday as we talked with someone close to Microsoft's zany on-again, off-again courtship of Yahoo. Yahoo dodged every Microsoft approach as if the process was some kind of $40 billion-plus version of the old videogame Frogger–leaping between shareholders, Carl Icahn [...]
Jul 3, 2:37 pm
Our earlier post on Penn national and the failure rate of leverage buyouts got us to thinking: What are the largest announced LBOs from 2007 that ultimately ended up on the scrap heap? So our friends at FactSet MergerMetrics put together this list of 15 biggest and now-busted announced LBOs from 2007: Target Acquirer Announced Withdrawn Transaction [...]
TODAY'S MARKETS8:16 a.m. EDT
   STOCKS LAST CHANGE %CHANGE  
  Dow Jones Industrials * 11288.54 73.03 0.65  
  S&P 500 * 1262.90 1.38 0.11  
  Nasdaq Composite * 2245.38 -6.08 -0.27  
  Russell 2000 * 665.78 -6.56 -0.98  
   COMMODITIES LAST CHANGE  
  Gold, Aug 933.10 -0.50  
  Crude Oil 144.28 -1.01  
   TREASURYS YIELD CHANGE  
  10-Year Note * 3.9847 -6/32  
   CURRENCIES LAST PRIOR DAY  
  Yen (per dollar) 106.7400 106.74  
  Euro (in dollars) 1.5669 1.5701  
Source: Reuters and Dow Jones* At close
Note: Closing quotes are preliminary
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EUROPE MARKETS
Banks, Miners Drag European Shares
European markets drifted lower in subdued trading as banks struggled to hold on to the previous day's gains and miners lost ground.
 

 
ASIA MARKETS
Most Asian Markets Extend Losses
Most Asian indexes extended losses, with real-estate stocks leading decliners in Japan, while banking shares lifted Hong Kong and Australia.
 

 
MARKET MOVERS
Stocks Battle to Regain Ground
The Dow Jones Industrial Average moved into a bear market this week, though it finished Thursday with a bounce, as General Motors' stock tried to fight back from its lowest levels since the 1950s.
 

 
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Fed Could Determine Dollar's Path
The dollar's direction in the coming week could well be defined by whether the U.S. Federal Reserve suggests it'll soon be ready to turn its expressions of concern over inflation into action.
 

 
COMMODITIES
Oil Hits Record Ahead of Holiday
Oil prices rose to a record $145.29 a barrel, as supply concerns and Mideast worries intensified and a gathering of oil executives in Madrid failed to cool the crisis.
 

 
CREDIT MARKETS
Two-Year Treasury Notes Rally
Two-year Treasurys caught a bid Thursday, with prices rising in the wake of data showing weakness in labor and service sectors, damping speculation of near-term interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve.
 

 
MARKETS COLUMNS
Read the latest from the Journal's roster of markets columns:
TODAY'S MARKETS by Peter A. McKay
GM's Rebound Helps Spur Dow
07/04/2008
HEARD ON THE STREET by Staff
Freddie's Delay Is Costly
07/03/2008
AHEAD OF THE TAPE by Mark Gongloff
Workers Face Woes Beyond Job Losses
07/03/2008
THE GAME by Dennis K. Berman
Time to Reunite Banks and Wall Street Dealers?
06/24/2008
R.O.I. by Brett Arends
Declare Financial Independence
07/04/2008
LETTER FROM THE CITY by Staff
FSA Tightens Trading Policies
07/03/2008
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